Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-20 0.431523 0.494283 0.562151 0.640890 0.729620 0.826404 0.939855
2025-04-27 0.347395 0.435091 0.537701 0.666172 0.822231 1.005139 1.235208
2025-05-04 0.277347 0.377622 0.503852 0.673319 0.893628 1.168938 1.537447
2025-05-11 0.222349 0.327615 0.469535 0.672800 0.953982 1.326350 1.853315
2025-05-18 0.180622 0.286746 0.439328 0.671376 1.011186 1.485516 2.191222
2025-05-25 0.149624 0.254839 0.415497 0.673787 1.072296 1.655778 2.563883
2025-06-01 0.126379 0.230000 0.397394 0.680743 1.139385 1.840759 2.977688
2025-06-08 0.105459 0.204654 0.373821 0.674587 1.183982 1.995370 3.361404
2025-06-15 0.092227 0.189905 0.364975 0.690460 1.264715 2.213404 3.865333
2025-06-22 0.077876 0.170156 0.343934 0.681581 1.301605 2.362892 4.272055
2025-06-29 0.068311 0.157736 0.334023 0.690703 1.370012 2.570737 4.795044
2025-07-06 0.057556 0.140645 0.312254 0.673982 1.388601 2.692877 5.180385
2025-07-13 0.052099 0.134078 0.310729 0.697116 1.485943 2.967406 5.866796
2025-07-20 0.047669 0.128963 0.311404 0.724769 1.595333 3.274904 6.642601
2025-07-27 0.042281 0.120432 0.303284 0.732719 1.666055 3.516196 7.317086
2025-08-03 0.037086 0.111243 0.292118 0.732308 1.719179 3.728126 7.954291
2025-08-10 0.032570 0.102808 0.281257 0.730866 1.769610 3.938987 8.607640
2025-08-17 0.028896 0.095840 0.272745 0.733536 1.829058 4.173263 9.327770
2025-08-24 0.025933 0.090227 0.266672 0.741096 1.900150 4.437907 10.132115
2025-08-31 0.022745 0.083163 0.255563 0.734469 1.937418 4.633436 10.807970
2025-09-07 0.020878 0.079804 0.253892 0.751645 2.032911 4.963809 11.797600
2025-09-14 0.018295 0.073443 0.242689 0.742058 2.062049 5.148984 12.486696
2025-09-21 0.016643 0.069854 0.238882 0.751927 2.140681 5.453061 13.462761